Posts Tagged ‘Arizona’

Arizona Cop Acquitted in Shooting Death of Daniel Shaver

Friday, December 8th, 2017

The Arizona cop who shot and killed an unarmed man begging not to be killed was found not guilty today.
A jury acquitted Philip Brailsford of both second-degree murder and reckless manslaughter. He was facing up to 25 years in prison.
Brailsford claimed he was in fear for his life, thinking Daniel Shaver was reaching for a gun, even though five other officers at the scene held their fire.
Mesa police were responding to a call at the LaQuinta Inn about a man pointing a gun out of an upstairs window on January 18, 2016. Shaver, who was in the pest control business, was actually holding a pellet gun, showing it off to a new acquaintance he had met.
“Please don’t shoot me,” Shaver pleaded as he crawled towards the cops after being ordered out of his motel room, a fact omitted in several police reports from cops who witnessed the shooting.
Body cam footage of the actual shooting was presented to the jury but has not yet been made public.
According to the Phoenix New Times:
Brailsford was one of six officers called to a Mesa motel on January 18, 2016, after someone reported seeing the barrel of a rifle sticking out of a window.
 
He and the other officers took up positions around the fifth-floor room occupied by Daniel Shaver, 26, a pest-control technician from Nashville, Tennessee.
 
As the jury learned, Shaver had invited a man and woman up to his room for drinks before police got there, and was showing them an air rifle he sometimes used to kill birds. The other man eventually left, leaving just Shaver and the woman in the room.
 
Excerpts of Brailsford body-cam footage can be seen on YouTube; a judge ruled that the shooting sequence could be edited out of the public version.
Brailsford was fired from the Mesa Police Department after the shooting, where

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Arizona Cops Omit Vital Details from Police Shooting Report of Daniel Shaver

Monday, November 20th, 2017

In the moments before an Arizona police officer opened fire and killed Daniel Shaver, the unarmed man begged police not to kill him.
“Please don’t shoot me,” Shaver pleaded as he crawled on his hands and knees towards the cops before one of them opened fire, killing him instantly.
Mesa police officer Philip “Mitch” Brailsford later claimed he was in fear for his life because Shaver had reached for his waistband.
However, not only does Brailsford’s body cam video of the shooting does not show Shaver reaching for his waistband, according to his widow, Laney Sweet, who has watched the video multiple times during Brailsford trial on second-degree murder charges – police omitted to report that he begged for his life prior to being shot and killed.
Five police officers. Five police reports. Five police narratives. And not one mention of the victim begging for his life.
In fact, one police officer investigating the shooting testified that he found this suspicious, according to the Arizona Republic.

On Wednesday, Mesa homicide Detective Paul Sipe gave testimony that appeared to be damaging to Brailsford’s defense.
 
When a Mesa police officer shoots a person, the department investigates its own officer and forwards the investigation to the Maricopa County Attorney’s Office, which then decides if the officer should be charged with a crime.
 
In this case, Sipe led the investigation into Brailsford’s decision to shoot. Brailsford was charged by the County Attorney’s Office in March 2016.
 
Sipe told the jury on Wednesday that he became suspicious of the officers’ reports when he noticed they omitted “vital information.” Sipe didn’t specify what he was talking about and
Deputy County Attorney Susie Charbel didn’t ask him to be specific.
 
But throughout the trial, Charbel has noted that of the five written reports from the officers on the scene, they left out that Shaver had cried and begged not

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Arizona Cop Heading to Trial for Killing Unarmed Man Claims it Would be “Unfair” to Show Jury Body Cam Footage of Shooting Death

Wednesday, October 18th, 2017

The former Arizona cop preparing to go to trial for shooting and killing an unarmed man in a hotel hallway last year is now arguing that it would be “unfair” to show the jury body cam footage of the shooting.
But the footage is probably the strongest piece of evidence that will determined whether or not Mesa police officer Philip “Mitch” Brailsford truly feared for his life when he shot and killed Daniel Shaver after ordering him to come crawling towards him on January 18, 2016.
Brailsford, who has since been fired, described it a “terrifying” experience, but so do all cops who shoot and kill unarmed citizens. That’s just Cop Spin 101.
Daniel Shaver and Laney Sweet and their children.
Shaver was a pest control worker from Texas who was staying in a La Quinta Inn in Mesa when he met up with two acquaintances and brought them to his room to show them his pellet gun.
At one point, he or somebody in the room was pointing the pellet gun out the fifth-floor window, which prompted somebody on the ground floor to call police.
Several Mesa police officers responded and made their way up to the fifth-floor, ordering everybody outside the room. Shaver, who was wearing shorts and a t-shirt, no longer had the pellet gun in his hand.
But police still ordered him down on his hands and knees and ordered him to come crawling towards them.
“Please don’t shoot me,” Shaver pleaded, according to witness statements.
But Shaver’s shorts slipped off as he was crawling towards them, which is when his hand instinctively reached down to hold them up.
And that Brailsford claimed, made him fear for his life, prompting him to fire five rounds from his personal AR-15 with the words, “You’re Fucked” inscribed on it.
Five other cops that had their guns trained on Shaver did not

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Tucson Court to Hear Extradition of Woman Accused of Feeding her Mother

Sunday, June 25th, 2017

Contributed by Janet Phelan
Janet Phelan
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
On Tuesday, Pima County Superior Court in Arizona will hear a case involving a fugitive from justice and the request for extradition to Miami-Dade County, in Florida. The fugitive, a former New York attorney, is a 64-year-old woman named Barbara Stone.
Stone was originally arrested for feeding her mother.
Barbara Stane and her mom, Barbara surprised her mom, with a party
Yes, you read that correctly. Specifically, the 2013 charges against Stone were launched after she took her mother, who was under a guardianship with a “professional guardian” named Jacqueline Hertz, to lunch. Stone had visited her mother, Helen Stone, in the facility wherein Hertz had placed her. Finding her mother on a feeding tube and clearly emaciated, Barbara Stone took her to Denny’s.
She was arrested the same day and charged with the following: 1) Custody interference; 2) Elder abuse; 3) False imprisonment, and 4) Violation of a protective order. According to Miami-Dade, there was no action taken on charges 2-4 and the threat of the five-year prison term attached to the first count was enough for Stone to take a plea. She was sentenced to three years probation.
The warrant for her arrest in Arizona, which was executed on June 16, 2017, states that she violated the terms of her probation on four counts. Three of them reveal a virtual gag on Stone.
1) Barbara Stone is charged with “failing to comply with the plea agreement…..(stating that Stone) shall not file any documents in the pending guardianship case, or in any other court of competent jurisdiction, concerning her mother or any other parties/participants unless said documents are filed by and through an attorney licensed to practice in the State of Florida, and as grounds for belief that the offender violated her probation, Officer Nakesha Tucker states that the offender submitted

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Arizona Cop Offers Videographer Bite of his Burger After he gets Caught Staking him out

Monday, March 13th, 2017

An Arizona cop who was staking out a citizen journalist after he was released from jail for recording outside of an air force base offered him a bite of his cheeseburger when the videographer approached him with his camera to engage in some friendly banter.
But Glendale Police Lieutenant Robert Jones reneged on his offer to share his ground round after the video activist Silent Citizen took him up on it.
The exchange took place after the videographer had been approached by Glendale Police Chief Rick St. John outside the police department, inquiring why he was recording, but also assuring he had the right to record.
To his credit, Jones did not tell Silent Citizen to stop recording or to step away from his car as many cops would have done.
In fact, several Glendale cops who were walking out of the police station greeted Silent Citizen in a cheerful manner, so they obviously have received the memo that photography is not a crime.
Unfortunately, a security guard working inside the Glendale courthouse did not receive the memo.
Security guard steps outside of courthouse tell man to stop recording him.
The guard, who was wearing a uniform stating he worked for CBI Security, stepped outside the courthouse to confront Silent Citizen for recording from a public sidewalk.
“You can’t record this building,” the guard tells him. “Stop recording me, man.”
But Silent Citizen remained silent and the guard walked back inside.
We reported about Silent Citizen’s unlawful arrest last month after he was cuffed outside of Luke Air Force Base by an MP named Ledford and hauled down to the Glendale City Jail on February 21.
Luke Air Force Base MP Ledford handcuffed Silent Citizen for recording outside of the base from a public sidewalk on February 21.
 
But Silent Citizen didn’t let his arrest curb his enthusiasm for exercising his First Amendment-protected activities.
After being released from the hoosegow, he began recording outside

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WATCH: Military Police Arrest Man for Silently Recording from Outside Air Force Base

Friday, February 24th, 2017

It was a scene straight out of Nazi Germany.
Except it happened in the land of the free.
A military police officer at Luke Air Force base in Glendale, Arizona was caught on video arresting a peaceful cop watcher who goes by “Silent Citizen” on YouTube.
Because that’s his schtick.
Silent Citizen records police all while never saying a word, refraining from comments, insults or questions solely intended to incriminate the person answering them, which is supposed to be a Constitutionally protected right in the so-called land of the free.
But not in this February 21 video because, ironically, that’s just what Silent Citizen was doing – silently recording from a public crosswalk – when a camera shy, angry Air Force cop approached in a vaguely marked police vehicle, barking orders as if he had broken the law.
“Do you mind putting the camera away?” the Air Force cop asks, glaring at Silent Citizen for daring to have a camera out in public near the Luke Air Force Base, recording various things in plain, public view.
Isn’t the purpose of the military to protect our freedoms, not violate them?
“Do you mind putting the camera away?” the cop asks Silent Citizen, requesting he relinquish his protected freedoms.
His orders are met with silence.
“Do you mind putting the camera away?” the military cop with the name Ledford printed across his uniform repeats.
Silence.
“Do you speak English?”
Silent Citizens remains silent.
“Do you speak English?”
The Air Force cop responds to Silent Citizens silence, radioing in to dispatch.
“B-dog, this is Police 2. Individual is being . . . non-compliant,” he whines to the dispather.
“Sir, I’m gonna ask you again to put the camera away,” the Air Force cop requests.
Silence.
“Alright! I need you to put the camera away,” the obviously angry cop barks.
Apparently feeling threatened at this point, Silent Citizen breaks his silence long enough to

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Daniel Shaver’s Widow Files $75 Million Lawsuit Against Mesa Police Department and Hotel

Thursday, January 19th, 2017

Just over a week after Daniel Shaver’s parents filed a lawsuit against the Arizona police department that shot and killed their unarmed son, his widow also filed a lawsuit.
This one for $75 million in damages.
Laney Sweet filed her lawsuit Tuesday against the Mesa Police Department, including Philip “Mitch” Brailsford, the cop who killed her husband with an AR-15 with the words, “You’re Fucked” inscribed on it.
Also mentioned in the lawsuit is the hotel company where the shooting took place.
According to the Associated Press:
Sweet filed her lawsuit against the city of Mesa, the team of officers who responded to the hotel call, and La Quinta Holdings, the parent company of the hotel in question.
Sweet alleges the leader of the team of officers gave confusing commands to Shaver while he was on the ground, encouraged overly aggressive reactions from his subordinates and handled the call as if there was an imminent threat of an active shooter.
The lawsuit said the hotel staff members who knew Shaver could have told officers that he wasn’t a threatening person and therefore could have lowered officers’ expectations about the risks at the hotel. Sweet also alleged that officers should have gathered more information about the call before approaching Shaver.
The incident took place in January 18, 2016 as Shaver was inside a fifth-floor hotel room with a couple of acquaintances showing them a pellet gun he used in his pest control business.
At one point, one of the men in the room pointed the pellet gun out the window, which led to people downstairs calling police, who arrived with guns drawn, ordering people out of the room.
Shaver, who was barefoot and wearing shorts and a t-shirt, was ordered to come crawling towards the officers, who all had their guns trained on him.
“Please don’t shoot me,” Shaver said according to

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Arizona Cop Philip “Mitch” Brailsford Sued for Killing Daniel Shaver in Hotel Hallway

Wednesday, January 11th, 2017

The Arizona cop who shot and killed an unarmed man begging not to be killed as he was forced to crawl towards cops in a hotel hallway was sued this week.
Philip “Mitch” Brailsford, who was fired from the Mesa Police Department after killing Daniel Shaver last year, is still awaiting trial for second-degree murder.
The lawsuit was filed by his parents, Norma and Grady Shaver, on Tuesday. Also mentioned in the lawsuit is Brailsford’s commanding officer, Sergeant Charles Langley, and the city of Mesa, according to the Arizona Republic.
His wife, Laney Sweet, has filed a $35 notice of claim against the city of Mesa, which is an intent to sue, but she has not yet filed the lawsuit. Brailsford is expected to go to trial towards the end of the year.
Body cam footage of the shooting has been partially released, meaning the actual shooting was not included in the video released.
The incident took place in January 18, 2016 as Shaver was inside a fifth-floor hotel room with a couple of acquaintances showing them a pellet gun he used in his pest control business.
At one point, one of the men in the room pointed the pellet gun out the window, which led to people downstairs calling police, who arrived with guns drawn, ordering people out of the room.
Shaver, who was barefoot and wearing shorts and a t-shirt, was ordered to come crawling towards the officers, who all had their guns trained on him.
“Please don’t shoot me,” Shaver said according to a witness, who was also ordered to crawl towards police.
But Mesa Police Sergeant Charles Langley never gave him that assurance.
“There is a very severe possibility that if you make another mistake you are going to get shot,” Langley said according to prosecutor Susie Charbel as she read the transcript of the body

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Marijuana reform went 8 for 9 on the ballot; is it at a tipping point?

Monday, November 14th, 2016

After marijuana amendments passed in eight of the nine states where it was on the ballot Tuesday, now nearly a quarter of all Americans live in states where recreational use of marijuana is legal.
Voters in California, Maine, Massachusetts, and Nevada approved recreational marijuana amendments last week, giving nearly 50 million more Americans the right to use marijuana.
Additionally, Florida, Arkansas, and North Dakota voted in favor of medical marijuana amendments, while Montana residents voted to roll back restrictions on their medical marijuana laws put in place by their state Legislature.
Arizona was the only state where marijuana failed on the ballot in 2016. The southwestern state already has medical marijuana laws on the books, but voters shot down a measure to legalize recreational use.
Once these amendments go into effect, eight states will have fully legalized marijuana, including the whole of the west coast, while 28 states and the District of Columbia will have legalized medical marijuana.
Marijuana’s ballot success this year could have pushed the drug past the tipping point when it comes to how the federal government enforces drug laws.
The new amendments also will mean an additional 68 members of the U.S. House of Representatives will come from states where recreational marijuana is legal, 53 from California alone.
President Barack Obama said the swing toward marijuana legalization — both for medical and recreational use — may make strict drug policies untenable for federal law enforcement agencies.
“You’ll now have a fifth of the country that’s operating under one set of laws and four-fifths in another,” he said in an interview with Bill Maher. “The Justice Department, DEA, FBI, for them to try to straddle and figure out how they’re supposed to enforce laws in some places and not in others … that is not going to be tenable.”
The post Marijuana reform went 8 for 9 on the

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Award-Winning Arizona Cop Caught on Camera Gunning Down Tiny Native American Woman with Medical Scissors Resigns after Investigation

Tuesday, November 1st, 2016

The Arizona cop who shot Loreal Tsingine, a Native American woman holding a tiny pair of scissors, quit after a meeting in which he was confronted about the results of an external investigation regarding the fatal shooting.
Winslow police officer Austin Shipley’s resignation is effective immediately, according to the Arizona Daily Sun.
A pair of medical scissors similar to the pair Loreal Tsingine can be seen holding before she was shot.
On March 27, Shipley responded to a call in which a person matching the description of the 27-year-old Native American mother had shoplifted a case of beer.
Shipley ended up shooting Tsingine five times in the chest.
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Body cam footage shows Shipley approaching Tsingine, making contact with her, although she doesn’t have a case of beer.
Shipley’s report states he attempted to take Tsingine into custody, but that she resisted and threatened him with scissors, causing the 6-foot, 210 pound officer to fear for his life.
But the body cam footage, which can be seen below, actually shows Austin Shipley manhandling then shoving Tsingine before she pulls out a pair of medical scissors, which her family says she used to trim the split ends of her hair.
Tsingine’s purse falls on the ground as she is shoved and her anti-psychotic medication spills.
Tsingine gets up and begins walking towards Shipley with the scissors pointed downward.
Shipley then draws his gun and shoot Tsingine five times in the chest.
An external investigation conducted by the Mesa Police Department concluded last week. Christopher Vasquez, the interim director of the Winslow Police Department, reviewed the results.
On Monday, Vasquez met with Shipley who made the decision to immediately resign.
He won several awards during his three-year tenure at the department, but was also disciplined a couple of times for excessive force and making inappropriate comments

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For Hillary Clinton, struggle to change public perception persists

Sunday, October 23rd, 2016

Hillary Clinton bested Donald Trump in three debates. She leads in many preference polls of the most competitive states. Barring a significant shift in the next two weeks, she is in a strong position to become the first woman elected U.S. president.
But Clinton will end the campaign still struggling to change the minds of millions of voters who don’t think well of her, a glaring liability should the Democratic nominee move on to the White House.
While many see her as better prepared to be commander in chief than Trump, she is consistently viewed unfavorably by more than half of the country. Most voters also consider her dishonest.
Clinton’s advisers have spent months trying to erase that perception. They’ve set up small events where she had more intimate conversations with voters. They’ve tested a seemingly endless stream of messages aimed at assuring the public that the former secretary of state was in the race to do more than fulfill her own political ambitions.
As Clinton starts making her closing argument to voters, her team appears to have come to terms that the mission remains unfulfilled.
“Honest and trustworthy has become our most talked about metric because it’s not great,” said Jennifer Palmieri, Clinton’s communications director. “But we’ve never thought it’s the metric people make a decision on.”
If Clinton wins, that theory may be proven true.
Just 36 percent of voters believe Clinton is honest and trustworthy, according to a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll. That’s compared with about 60 percent who believe she has the qualifications and temperament to be commander in chief.
The public’s perception of Clinton has bounced up and down throughout her time in public life. Her favorability rating fell below 50 percent at times during her years as first lady, but rose to its high water mark then and while she was

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For Hillary Clinton, struggle to change public perception persists

Sunday, October 23rd, 2016

Hillary Clinton bested Donald Trump in three debates. She leads in many preference polls of the most competitive states. Barring a significant shift in the next two weeks, she is in a strong position to become the first woman elected U.S. president.
But Clinton will end the campaign still struggling to change the minds of millions of voters who don’t think well of her, a glaring liability should the Democratic nominee move on to the White House.
While many see her as better prepared to be commander in chief than Trump, she is consistently viewed unfavorably by more than half of the country. Most voters also consider her dishonest.
Clinton’s advisers have spent months trying to erase that perception. They’ve set up small events where she had more intimate conversations with voters. They’ve tested a seemingly endless stream of messages aimed at assuring the public that the former secretary of state was in the race to do more than fulfill her own political ambitions.
As Clinton starts making her closing argument to voters, her team appears to have come to terms that the mission remains unfulfilled.
“Honest and trustworthy has become our most talked about metric because it’s not great,” said Jennifer Palmieri, Clinton’s communications director. “But we’ve never thought it’s the metric people make a decision on.”
If Clinton wins, that theory may be proven true.
Just 36 percent of voters believe Clinton is honest and trustworthy, according to a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll. That’s compared with about 60 percent who believe she has the qualifications and temperament to be commander in chief.
The public’s perception of Clinton has bounced up and down throughout her time in public life. Her favorability rating fell below 50 percent at times during her years as first lady, but rose to its high water mark then and while she was

Vote on this story -->>>

For Hillary Clinton, struggle to change public perception persists

Sunday, October 23rd, 2016

Hillary Clinton bested Donald Trump in three debates. She leads in many preference polls of the most competitive states. Barring a significant shift in the next two weeks, she is in a strong position to become the first woman elected U.S. president.
But Clinton will end the campaign still struggling to change the minds of millions of voters who don’t think well of her, a glaring liability should the Democratic nominee move on to the White House.
While many see her as better prepared to be commander in chief than Trump, she is consistently viewed unfavorably by more than half of the country. Most voters also consider her dishonest.
Clinton’s advisers have spent months trying to erase that perception. They’ve set up small events where she had more intimate conversations with voters. They’ve tested a seemingly endless stream of messages aimed at assuring the public that the former secretary of state was in the race to do more than fulfill her own political ambitions.
As Clinton starts making her closing argument to voters, her team appears to have come to terms that the mission remains unfulfilled.
“Honest and trustworthy has become our most talked about metric because it’s not great,” said Jennifer Palmieri, Clinton’s communications director. “But we’ve never thought it’s the metric people make a decision on.”
If Clinton wins, that theory may be proven true.
Just 36 percent of voters believe Clinton is honest and trustworthy, according to a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll. That’s compared with about 60 percent who believe she has the qualifications and temperament to be commander in chief.
The public’s perception of Clinton has bounced up and down throughout her time in public life. Her favorability rating fell below 50 percent at times during her years as first lady, but rose to its high water mark then and while she was

Vote on this story -->>>

For Hillary Clinton, struggle to change public perception persists

Sunday, October 23rd, 2016

Hillary Clinton bested Donald Trump in three debates. She leads in many preference polls of the most competitive states. Barring a significant shift in the next two weeks, she is in a strong position to become the first woman elected U.S. president.
But Clinton will end the campaign still struggling to change the minds of millions of voters who don’t think well of her, a glaring liability should the Democratic nominee move on to the White House.
While many see her as better prepared to be commander in chief than Trump, she is consistently viewed unfavorably by more than half of the country. Most voters also consider her dishonest.
Clinton’s advisers have spent months trying to erase that perception. They’ve set up small events where she had more intimate conversations with voters. They’ve tested a seemingly endless stream of messages aimed at assuring the public that the former secretary of state was in the race to do more than fulfill her own political ambitions.
As Clinton starts making her closing argument to voters, her team appears to have come to terms that the mission remains unfulfilled.
“Honest and trustworthy has become our most talked about metric because it’s not great,” said Jennifer Palmieri, Clinton’s communications director. “But we’ve never thought it’s the metric people make a decision on.”
If Clinton wins, that theory may be proven true.
Just 36 percent of voters believe Clinton is honest and trustworthy, according to a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll. That’s compared with about 60 percent who believe she has the qualifications and temperament to be commander in chief.
The public’s perception of Clinton has bounced up and down throughout her time in public life. Her favorability rating fell below 50 percent at times during her years as first lady, but rose to its high water mark then and while she was

Vote on this story -->>>

For Hillary Clinton, struggle to change public perception persists

Sunday, October 23rd, 2016

Hillary Clinton bested Donald Trump in three debates. She leads in many preference polls of the most competitive states. Barring a significant shift in the next two weeks, she is in a strong position to become the first woman elected U.S. president.
But Clinton will end the campaign still struggling to change the minds of millions of voters who don’t think well of her, a glaring liability should the Democratic nominee move on to the White House.
While many see her as better prepared to be commander in chief than Trump, she is consistently viewed unfavorably by more than half of the country. Most voters also consider her dishonest.
Clinton’s advisers have spent months trying to erase that perception. They’ve set up small events where she had more intimate conversations with voters. They’ve tested a seemingly endless stream of messages aimed at assuring the public that the former secretary of state was in the race to do more than fulfill her own political ambitions.
As Clinton starts making her closing argument to voters, her team appears to have come to terms that the mission remains unfulfilled.
“Honest and trustworthy has become our most talked about metric because it’s not great,” said Jennifer Palmieri, Clinton’s communications director. “But we’ve never thought it’s the metric people make a decision on.”
If Clinton wins, that theory may be proven true.
Just 36 percent of voters believe Clinton is honest and trustworthy, according to a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll. That’s compared with about 60 percent who believe she has the qualifications and temperament to be commander in chief.
The public’s perception of Clinton has bounced up and down throughout her time in public life. Her favorability rating fell below 50 percent at times during her years as first lady, but rose to its high water mark then and while she was

Vote on this story -->>>

Report: Hillary Clinton’s Electoral College lead continues to grow

Thursday, October 20th, 2016

The electoral map keeps changing, but new rankings don’t favor Donald Trump.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball released updated Electoral College ratings, moving several deep red states out of the “safe Republican” or “leans Republican” columns. The ratings changes push Hillary Clinton to 352 electoral votes, the highest the organization has ranked her the entire election cycle.
“Our conclusion is simple,” according to analysis released Thursday. “As we reassess our Electoral College ratings, we don’t think any new states are moving toward Trump at this point, and there are some surprising conservative places where he is registering very thin, soft support.”
According to the team at Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Trump is “barely ahead in some polls of Alaska, Indiana, Missouri, South Carolina, and Texas — states that he shouldn’t be close in any competitive election.” While the team said they still think Trump will win those states, it will be by “significantly reduced margins from Mitt Romney’s 2012 performance.”
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved those states from “safe Republican” to “likely Republican.”
One big shift: Utah has shifted from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.” The team at Sabato’s credited the entry of Evan McMullin, an independent conservative candidate, as one of the reasons for the shift. Polls have shown a three-way race in the Beehive State among McMullin, Trump, and Clinton.
“In a state where neither major-party candidate is spending much time or money, McMullin’s cultivation of Utah … could bear fruit, and he may have the most room to grow in a state where Clinton and Trump are very unpopular,” according to the recent ratings memo.
Clinton is expected to make a push in Arizona, where polls have shown a close race throughout the general election. The team at Sabato’s moved Arizona “all the way from Leans Republican to Leans Democratic.”
“If we were basing this just on polls, Toss-up would

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Report: Hillary Clinton’s Electoral College lead continues to grow

Thursday, October 20th, 2016

The electoral map keeps changing, but new rankings don’t favor Donald Trump.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball released updated Electoral College ratings, moving several deep red states out of the “safe Republican” or “leans Republican” columns. The ratings changes push Hillary Clinton to 352 electoral votes, the highest the organization has ranked her the entire election cycle.
“Our conclusion is simple,” according to analysis released Thursday. “As we reassess our Electoral College ratings, we don’t think any new states are moving toward Trump at this point, and there are some surprising conservative places where he is registering very thin, soft support.”
According to the team at Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Trump is “barely ahead in some polls of Alaska, Indiana, Missouri, South Carolina, and Texas — states that he shouldn’t be close in any competitive election.” While the team said they still think Trump will win those states, it will be by “significantly reduced margins from Mitt Romney’s 2012 performance.”
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved those states from “safe Republican” to “likely Republican.”
One big shift: Utah has shifted from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.” The team at Sabato’s credited the entry of Evan McMullin, an independent conservative candidate, as one of the reasons for the shift. Polls have shown a three-way race in the Beehive State among McMullin, Trump, and Clinton.
“In a state where neither major-party candidate is spending much time or money, McMullin’s cultivation of Utah … could bear fruit, and he may have the most room to grow in a state where Clinton and Trump are very unpopular,” according to the recent ratings memo.
Clinton is expected to make a push in Arizona, where polls have shown a close race throughout the general election. The team at Sabato’s moved Arizona “all the way from Leans Republican to Leans Democratic.”
“If we were basing this just on polls, Toss-up would

Vote on this story -->>>

Report: Hillary Clinton’s Electoral College lead continues to grow

Thursday, October 20th, 2016

The electoral map keeps changing, but new rankings don’t favor Donald Trump.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball released updated Electoral College ratings, moving several deep red states out of the “safe Republican” or “leans Republican” columns. The ratings changes push Hillary Clinton to 352 electoral votes, the highest the organization has ranked her the entire election cycle.
“Our conclusion is simple,” according to analysis released Thursday. “As we reassess our Electoral College ratings, we don’t think any new states are moving toward Trump at this point, and there are some surprising conservative places where he is registering very thin, soft support.”
According to the team at Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Trump is “barely ahead in some polls of Alaska, Indiana, Missouri, South Carolina, and Texas — states that he shouldn’t be close in any competitive election.” While the team said they still think Trump will win those states, it will be by “significantly reduced margins from Mitt Romney’s 2012 performance.”
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved those states from “safe Republican” to “likely Republican.”
One big shift: Utah has shifted from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.” The team at Sabato’s credited the entry of Evan McMullin, an independent conservative candidate, as one of the reasons for the shift. Polls have shown a three-way race in the Beehive State among McMullin, Trump, and Clinton.
“In a state where neither major-party candidate is spending much time or money, McMullin’s cultivation of Utah … could bear fruit, and he may have the most room to grow in a state where Clinton and Trump are very unpopular,” according to the recent ratings memo.
Clinton is expected to make a push in Arizona, where polls have shown a close race throughout the general election. The team at Sabato’s moved Arizona “all the way from Leans Republican to Leans Democratic.”
“If we were basing this just on polls, Toss-up would

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Report: Hillary Clinton’s Electoral College lead continues to grow

Thursday, October 20th, 2016

The electoral map keeps changing, but new rankings don’t favor Donald Trump.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball released updated Electoral College ratings, moving several deep red states out of the “safe Republican” or “leans Republican” columns. The ratings changes push Hillary Clinton to 352 electoral votes, the highest the organization has ranked her the entire election cycle.
“Our conclusion is simple,” according to analysis released Thursday. “As we reassess our Electoral College ratings, we don’t think any new states are moving toward Trump at this point, and there are some surprising conservative places where he is registering very thin, soft support.”
According to the team at Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Trump is “barely ahead in some polls of Alaska, Indiana, Missouri, South Carolina, and Texas — states that he shouldn’t be close in any competitive election.” While the team said they still think Trump will win those states, it will be by “significantly reduced margins from Mitt Romney’s 2012 performance.”
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved those states from “safe Republican” to “likely Republican.”
One big shift: Utah has shifted from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.” The team at Sabato’s credited the entry of Evan McMullin, an independent conservative candidate, as one of the reasons for the shift. Polls have shown a three-way race in the Beehive State among McMullin, Trump, and Clinton.
“In a state where neither major-party candidate is spending much time or money, McMullin’s cultivation of Utah … could bear fruit, and he may have the most room to grow in a state where Clinton and Trump are very unpopular,” according to the recent ratings memo.
Clinton is expected to make a push in Arizona, where polls have shown a close race throughout the general election. The team at Sabato’s moved Arizona “all the way from Leans Republican to Leans Democratic.”
“If we were basing this just on polls, Toss-up would

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Martin Dyckman: Legislators should consider the Iowa example

Tuesday, September 15th, 2015

In the far from perfect world of politics, there’s a place that in one respect is as near to perfection as anyone could expect.
The state legislature redistricts itself, yet both parties accept the outcomes as fair, the resulting elections are unusually competitive and the courts don’t have to get involved. Gerrymandering is for the history books, not the current events pages
That’s obviously the extreme opposite of what happens in Tallahassee, Florida’s capital of confusion, chaos and conspiracy.
The model state is Iowa, home of the world’s most overrated political caucuses and the most respected redistricting system.
Like every other state, Iowa is required to remap its congressional and legislative districts after every decennial federal census so as to keep the populations as equal, or nearly equal, as possible.
In states such as Florida, this is done under the control of the majority party, which uses its power to strengthen itself at the minority’s expense. That’s if they don’t get caught slyly but shamelessly gerrymandering like the Florida Senate did.
California, New Jersey, Arizona, Montana, Idaho, Hawaii and Washington have independent commissions to carry out both their congressional and legislative redistricting process. There are mixed opinions as to how truly independent these commissions are.
Six other states let their legislatures redistrict Congress but have independent commissions to keep the lawmakers from rigging their state constituencies.
Iowa is unlike any of the others. The Legislature and governor have the last word on both sets of plans, but – this is important – they do not have the first word.
There, the map-drawing is the job of highly skilled and highly professional people, demographers and cartographers usually, who work for the state’s Legislative Services Agency. There are strict standards against gerrymandering for the sake of a party, an incumbent, or a potential candidate.
A bipartisan commission is appointed every 10 years

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