Posts Tagged ‘UNF’

Poll: Floridians back transgender bathrooms, oppose ‘travel ban’ from Muslim countries

Monday, March 6th, 2017

A poll released Monday by the University of North Florida shows that more Florida voters favor transgender bathroom rights than President Donald Trump‘s controversial “travel ban” from seven majority-Muslim countries.
The UNF poll shows that 62 percent of registered Florida voters would have no issue using the same bathroom as a transgender person; 47 percent of those surveyed strongly disagreed with the idea of being uncomfortable using the same bathroom as a transgender person.
Of those surveyed, 79 percent don’t think transgender individuals pose a sexual threat to children and women. 62 percent of those polled strongly felt that no sexual threat was posed to women and children by transgender people.
Meanwhile, the proposed travel ban is underwater with UNF’s survey set: 51 percent of registered Florida voters disapprove (42 percent strongly), while 44 percent approve of the ban.
UNF polled 973 people — 27 percent on landlines — between the dates of Feb. 13 and Feb. 26. The asserted margin of error is 3 percent.
The post Poll: Floridians back transgender bathrooms, oppose ‘travel ban’ from Muslim countries appeared first on Florida Politics.

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Bill Nelson holds early lead over Rick Scott (44%-38%) in U.S. Senate race

Monday, March 6th, 2017

A poll released Monday from the University of North Florida shows Sen. Bill Nelson ahead of Gov. Rick Scott in a hypothetical match-up for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat.
Meanwhile, the favorability ratings of both Sen. Marco Rubio and President Donald Trump are both underwater.
Nelson is up by six points (44 percent to 38 percent) over Scott, with 12 percent undecided.
Nelson’s personal favorability is +14 (42 percent approval, against 28 percent disapproval). Scott’s is + 6, with 46 percent of those surveyed approve of Scott, and 40 percent disapproving.
UNF Polling Director Michael Binder describes the six-point spread as “meaningful,” as “Rick Scott’s alliance with Donald Trump will likely factor into this election’s outcome next year.”
Currently, Trump is underwater with Florida voters, with 44 percent approval compared to 51 percent disapproval. In fact, 44 percent of Florida registered voters surveyed strongly disapprove of the president.
Meanwhile, Rubio ebbs even below that -7 net rating, with an anemic 40 percent approval against 48 percent disapproval.
Florida voters are even more sour on the performance of the Congress: 65 percent disapproval, against 28 percent approval.
UNF polled 973 people — 27 percent on landlines — between the dates of Feb. 13 and Feb. 26. The asserted margin of error is 3 percent.
The post Bill Nelson holds early lead over Rick Scott (44%-38%) in U.S. Senate race appeared first on Florida Politics.

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UNF capital improvements among appropriations asks by northeast Florida lawmakers

Monday, February 6th, 2017

As legislators begin filing appropriations bills in Tallahassee, we are starting to get an idea what success (or failure) will look like for Northeast Florida this Session.
Two of the more compelling requests last week came from Jacksonville Rep. Clay Yarborough, who filed a pair of bills totaling $10 million for the University of North Florida.
House Bill 2269 would earmark $3 million for renovations of Schultz Hall on campus, which currently houses the Army ROTC and the history department.
The renovation would help students by increasing capacity to serve those pursuing “targeted business degrees.”
House Bill 2271 would devote $7 million to renovations of the science and engineering building on campus to better serve chemistry and physics students. A Harvard study in 2015 confirmed the need for this renovation, which was heard at November’s meeting of the Duval County Legislative Delegation.
In addition to these asks, Yarborough also had two public safety appropriations.
HB 2331 would commit $635,941 to a pedestrian and bicycle safety improvement project at the request of the city of Jacksonville.
Ballard Partners is handling the lobbying for this one, which would improve the safety situation of seven of the most dangerous crossings in Jacksonville – all of which are on state roads.
HB 2333 allocates $631,072 to crosswalk countdown improvement, and the Fiorentino Group is carrying this measure, which would replace “Walk/Don’t Walk” signs with “countdown heads” – 1,924 of them, all at dangerous intersections on state roads.
Of course, there’s more to Northeast Florida than Clay Yarborough.
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Rep. Cord Byrd, who represents part of Duval and all of Nassau, seeks $375,000 in HB 2165 – the same amount as in last year’s budget – for the Girl Matters: Continuity of Care Model.
The Girl Matters program, an initiative of the Deloris Barr Weaver Policy Center, is intended to prevent young women dropping out of school and turning to lives of crime, offering a therapeutic framework to

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The Salt Shaker returns: Testing a pair of UNF polls

Thursday, October 29th, 2015

The saltshaker is back. 
Due mostly to a hectic schedule, we put the Florida Politics saltshaker on a brief hiatus. But, as polling season heats up (Did it ever really cool down?) and actual voting isn’t that far off, it’s now time to break it out of the cupboard and take a look at the two most recent Florida polls.
UNF recently released its findings from two polls, one of Republicans and one of Democrats, and, frankly, they are both pretty good.
Recall that the GOP poll showed Trump with a slight lead (21.7%) over a closing Ben Carson (19.3%), with Rubio just under 15% and Jeb Bush “at a distant fourth with 9 percent of the vote.” Recall also, this was one of the first to show Trump’s lead beginning to slip in the Sunshine State.
And, the Democratic poll showed Hillary with a very large (54.6%) lead over both Sanders (15.9%) and Biden (11.2%).
For clarification, when we say the polls were “good” that is not a value statement of the results, but only our opinion of how the polls were conducted.
So let’s apply the saltshaker test.
These polls, according to the methodology statement, checked most of the boxes that need checking. They surveyed likely voters, as opposed to “registered” ones, asked industry standard questions, verified they were speaking with the target voter, had decent enough sample sizes (641 and 632 respondents respectively), attempted to complete calls via cell phone (although they don’t say how many were actually conducted by cell phone) and balanced the sample to look like the likely voting electorate.
Here is a statement from Dr. Binder on how they derived their sample based on geography:
“Our quotas were based on the % of “likely primary voters” in each media market, those demographic totals were then used as baseline demographics to which we

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